Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
56% / 26% / 18%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Zurich win (17.7%)Șansă dublă1X82.3%1.22
Peste 46% · Sub 54%Goals 2.5Sub54%1.85
Da 41% · Nu 59%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu59%1.69
2.53 total expected goalsScor corect2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Lugano win56%1.79
Egal26%3.85
FC Zurich win18%5.56
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Gazde share of expected goals 73.9%
Total expected goals2.53Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Peste 46% · Sub 54%
Oaspeți share of expected goals 26.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 41% · Nu 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Gazde-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchLugano
WWLWW
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12
SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5
Oaspeți-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchFC Zurich
WLLWW
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9
SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
56%
Câștig probability excluding draw
18%12
Points from supplied form
91.87
Expected goals
0.66LuganoFC Zurich
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Lugano vs FC Zurich FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Lugano câștig 56%，Egal 26%，FC Zurich câștig 18%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.53 · Peste 2.5 46% · Current selection Sub。