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CHE Switzerland Super League · Wedstrijd ·

FC Sion vs FC Vaduz

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst43%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst33%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst43% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC SionFC Vaduz
Expected goals3.16Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven61% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
43% / 23% / 33%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.5%)Dubbele Kans1276.5%1.31
Boven 61% · Onder 39%Goals 2.5Boven61%1.64
Ja 63% · Nee 37%Beide teams scorenJa63%1.59
3.16 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
FC Sion win43%2.33
Gelijkspel23%4.35
FC Vaduz win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Sion1.70

Thuis share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals3.16Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 61% · Onder 39%

FC Vaduz1.46

Uit share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nee 37%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Sion

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FC Vaduz

0.75pts / match
Gespeeld4Wins1Drawn0Losses3Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
33%
12
Points from supplied form
3
1.70
Expected goals
1.46
FC SionFC Vaduz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Sion signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Vaduz signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

FC Sion vs FC Vaduz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Sion gewonnen 43%,Gelijkspel 23%,FC Vaduz gewonnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Boven 2.5 61% · Current selection Boven