Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 27% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)Double chance1273.1%1.37
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.14 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
10.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Basel win32%3.13
Draw27%3.70
FC Thun win41%2.44
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 44.9%
Total expected goals3.14Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%
Away share of expected goals 55.1%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchBasel
LWDWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchFC Thun
LDWDD
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalAway unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
32%
Win probability excluding draw
41%7
Points from supplied form
61.41
Expected goals
1.73BaselFC Thun
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Basel vs FC Thun FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Basel win 32%，Draw 27%，FC Thun win 41%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.14 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over。