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CHE Switzerland Super League · Zápas ·

FC Basilej vs FC Thun

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–23.14 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích50%
Remíza24%
Výhra hostů27%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích50% selection probability
Projected score1–2FC BasilejFC Thun
Expected goals3.14Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více61% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
50% / 24% / 27%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Dvojitá šance1276.2%1.31
Více 61% · Méně 39%Goals 2.5Více61%1.64
Ano 62% · Ne 38%Oba týmy skórujíAno62%1.61
3.14 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–2
10.8 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapFC Thun winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Basilej win50%2.001.8351.4%-1.4 pp
Remíza24%4.174.0023.5%+0.5 pp
FC Thun win27%3.703.7525.1%+1.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Basilej1.41

Domácí share of expected goals 44.9%

Total expected goals3.14Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 61% · Méně 39%

FC Thun1.73

Hosté share of expected goals 55.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitAno 62% · Ne 38%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

FC Basilej

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí clean sheets: 3/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

FC Thun

1.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Body6

SignalHosté unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Výhra probability excluding draw
27%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.41
Expected goals
1.73
FC BasilejFC Thun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Basilej signalDomácí clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Thun signalHosté unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FC Basilej vs FC Thun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Basilej výhra 50%,Remíza 24%,FC Thun výhra 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Více 2.5 61% · Current selection Více