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CHE Switzerland Super League · Mecz ·

Basel vs FC Thun

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–23.14 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy50%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości27%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy50% selection probability
Projected score1–2BaselFC Thun
Expected goals3.14Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej61% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
50% / 24% / 27%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Podwójna szansa1276.2%1.31
Powyżej 61% · Poniżej 39%Goals 2.5Powyżej61%1.64
Tak 62% · Nie 38%Obie drużyny strzeląTak62%1.61
3.14 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
10.8 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapFC Thun winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Basel win50%2.001.8351.4%-1.4 pp
Remis24%4.174.0023.5%+0.5 pp
FC Thun win27%3.703.7525.1%+1.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Basel1.41

Gospodarze share of expected goals 44.9%

Total expected goals3.14Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 61% · Poniżej 39%

FC Thun1.73

Goście share of expected goals 55.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 62% · Nie 38%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Basel

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

FC Thun

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkty6

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
27%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.41
Expected goals
1.73
BaselFC Thun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Basel signalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Thun signalGoście unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Basel vs FC Thun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Basel wygrana 50%,Remis 24%,FC Thun wygrana 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Powyżej 2.5 61% · Current selection Powyżej