Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
50% / 24% / 27%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Double chance1276.2%1.31
Plus de 61% · Moins de 39%Goals 2.5Plus de61%1.64
Oui 62% · Non 38%Les deux équipes marquentOui62%1.61
3.14 total expected goalsScore exact1–2——
10.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapFC Thun winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bâle win50%2.001.8351.4%-1.4 pp
Nul24%4.174.0023.5%+0.5 pp
FC Thun win27%3.703.7525.1%+1.9 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 44.9%
Total expected goals3.14Ouverture
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 61% · Moins de 39%
Extérieur share of expected goals 55.1%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 62% · Non 38%Match profileOuverture
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchBâle
LWDWL
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchFC Thun
LDWDD
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
50%
Gagné probability excluding draw
27%7
Points from supplied form
61.41
Expected goals
1.73BâleFC Thun
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Bâle vs FC Thun FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Bâle victoire 50%，Nul 24%，FC Thun victoire 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.14 · Plus de 2.5 61% · Current selection Plus de。