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VEN Венесуэла - Примера дивизион · Матч ·

Монагас vs Караборо

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев25%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей47%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей47% selection probability
Projected score1–2МонагасКараборо
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
25% / 28% / 47%Исход матчаПобеда гостей47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Монагас win (25%)Двойной шансX275%1.33
Больше 54% · Меньше 46%Goals 2.5Больше54%1.85
Да 54% · Нет 46%Обе забьютДа54%1.85
2.86 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
8.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapКараборо winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Монагас win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Ничья28%3.573.1028.8%-0.8 pp
Караборо win47%2.131.9545.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Монагас1.00

Хозяева share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 54% · Меньше 46%

Караборо1.86

Гости share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 54% · Нет 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Монагас

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Караборо

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalГости won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.00
Expected goals
1.86
МонагасКараборо
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Монагас signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Караборо signalГости won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Монагас vs Караборо FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Монагас выигрыш 25%,Ничья 28%,Караборо выигрыш 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · ТБ 2.5 54% · Current selection Больше