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VEN Venezuela - Primera Division · Partita ·

Monagas vs Carabobo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa25%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite47%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite47% selection probability
Projected score1–2MonagasCarabobo
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra54% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
25% / 28% / 47%Esito partitaVittoria ospite47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Monagas win (25%)Doppia ChanceX275%1.33
Sopra 54% · Sotto 46%Goals 2.5Sopra54%1.85
Sì 54% · No 46%Entrambe le squadre segnano54%1.85
2.86 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–2
8.2 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapCarabobo winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monagas win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Pareggio28%3.573.1028.8%-0.8 pp
Carabobo win47%2.131.9545.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monagas1.00

Casa share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 54% · Sotto 46%

Carabobo1.86

Trasferta share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Monagas

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Carabobo

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalTrasferta won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vinta probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.00
Expected goals
1.86
MonagasCarabobo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monagas signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carabobo signalTrasferta won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Monagas vs Carabobo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monagas vinta 25%,Pareggio 28%,Carabobo vinta 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Sopra 2.5 54% · Current selection Sopra