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VEN Venezuela - Primera Division · Wedstrijd ·

Monagas vs Carabobo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst25%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst47%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst47% selection probability
Projected score1–2MonagasCarabobo
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
25% / 28% / 47%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Monagas win (25%)Dubbele KansX275%1.33
Boven 54% · Onder 46%Goals 2.5Boven54%1.85
Ja 54% · Nee 46%Beide teams scorenJa54%1.85
2.86 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
8.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapCarabobo winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monagas win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.1028.8%-0.8 pp
Carabobo win47%2.131.9545.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monagas1.00

Thuis share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 54% · Onder 46%

Carabobo1.86

Uit share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 54% · Nee 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Monagas

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Carabobo

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalUit won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.00
Expected goals
1.86
MonagasCarabobo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monagas signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carabobo signalUit won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Monagas vs Carabobo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monagas gewonnen 25%,Gelijkspel 28%,Carabobo gewonnen 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Boven 2.5 54% · Current selection Boven