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VEN Венецуела - Примера Дивисион · Мач ·

Монагас vs Карабобо

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина25%
Равен28%
Победа за госта47%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта47% selection probability
Projected score1–2МонагасКарабобо
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
25% / 28% / 47%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Монагас win (25%)Двоен шансX275%1.33
Над 54% · Под 46%Goals 2.5Над54%1.85
Да 54% · Не 46%И двата отбора да отбележатДа54%1.85
2.86 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
8.2 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapКарабобо winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Монагас win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Равен28%3.573.1028.8%-0.8 pp
Карабобо win47%2.131.9545.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Монагас1.00

Домакин share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 54% · Под 46%

Карабобо1.86

Гост share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 54% · Не 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Монагас

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Карабобо

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalГост won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.00
Expected goals
1.86
МонагасКарабобо
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Монагас signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Карабобо signalГост won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Монагас vs Карабобо FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Монагас печеливш 25%,Равен 28%,Карабобо печеливш 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Над 2.5 54% · Current selection Над