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VEN Venezuela Primera Division · Trận đấu ·

Monagas vs Carabobo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng25%
Hòa28%
Đội khách thắng47%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng47% selection probability
Projected score1–2MonagasCarabobo
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài54% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
25% / 28% / 47%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Monagas win (25%)Cơ hội képX275%1.33
Tài 54% · Xỉu 46%Goals 2.5Tài54%1.85
Có 54% · Không 46%Cả hai đội ghi bàn54%1.85
2.86 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–2
8.2 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapCarabobo winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monagas win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Hòa28%3.573.1028.8%-0.8 pp
Carabobo win47%2.131.9545.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monagas1.00

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 54% · Xỉu 46%

Carabobo1.86

Khách share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 54% · Không 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Monagas

0.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Điểm4

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Carabobo

1.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Điểm9

SignalKhách won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Thắng probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.00
Expected goals
1.86
MonagasCarabobo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monagas signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carabobo signalKhách won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Monagas vs Carabobo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monagas thắng 25%,Hòa 28%,Carabobo thắng 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Tài 2.5 54% · Current selection Tài