What is the Monagas vs Carabobo prediction?

The prediction is Away win, with a projected score of 1–2 and a selected-call probability of 47%.

What are the Monagas vs Carabobo 1X2 probabilities?

Monagas win 25%, draw 28%, and Carabobo win 47%.

How many goals are expected in Monagas vs Carabobo?

The displayed projection is 2.86 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 54%.

MatchFormula Find a match

UTC+8

VEN Venezuela Primera Division · Fixture · Sun, Aug 9, 04:00

Monagas vs Carabobo

Full model forecast，stats and analysis

Home form

Projected score1–22.86 expected goals

Away form

Home win25%

Draw28%

Away win47%

Full model forecastAway winTier A · 47% selection probability

Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win47% selection probability

Projected score1–2Monagas — Carabobo

Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile

Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side

Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side

Expected corners8.2Under 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

25% / 28% / 47%Match resultAway win47%2.13

Derived from 1X2 · excludes Monagas win (25%)Double chanceX275%1.33

Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85

Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85

2.86 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——

8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——

Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapCarabobo winDifference+1.3 pp

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

Monagas win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp

Draw28%3.573.1028.8%-0.8 pp

Carabobo win47%2.131.9545.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monagas1.00

Home share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Carabobo1.86

Away share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Monagas

0.80pts / match

Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Carabobo

1.80pts / match

Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

25%

Win probability excluding draw

47%

Points from supplied form

1.00

Expected goals

1.86

MonagasCarabobo

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monagas signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carabobo signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions