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VEN Venezuela Primera Division · Maç ·

Monagas vs Carabobo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır25%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır47%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır47% selection probability
Projected score1–2MonagasCarabobo
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst54% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
25% / 28% / 47%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Monagas win (25%)Çifte ŞansX275%1.33
Üst 54% · Alt 46%Goals 2.5Üst54%1.85
Evet 54% · Hayır 46%Karşılıklı gol varEvet54%1.85
2.86 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–2
8.2 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapCarabobo winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monagas win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Beraberlik28%3.573.1028.8%-0.8 pp
Carabobo win47%2.131.9545.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monagas1.00

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 54% · Alt 46%

Carabobo1.86

Deplasman share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitEvet 54% · Hayır 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Monagas

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Carabobo

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puan9

SignalDeplasman won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.00
Expected goals
1.86
MonagasCarabobo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monagas signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carabobo signalDeplasman won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Monagas vs Carabobo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monagas kazanç 25%,Beraberlik 28%,Carabobo kazanç 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · 2.5 Üst 54% · Current selection Üst