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VEN Wenezuela - Primera Division · Mecz ·

Monagas vs Carabobo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy25%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości47%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości47% selection probability
Projected score1–2MonagasCarabobo
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej54% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
25% / 28% / 47%Wynik meczuWygrana gości47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Monagas win (25%)Podwójna szansaX275%1.33
Powyżej 54% · Poniżej 46%Goals 2.5Powyżej54%1.85
Tak 54% · Nie 46%Obie drużyny strzeląTak54%1.85
2.86 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
8.2 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapCarabobo winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monagas win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Remis28%3.573.1028.8%-0.8 pp
Carabobo win47%2.131.9545.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monagas1.00

Gospodarze share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 54% · Poniżej 46%

Carabobo1.86

Goście share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 54% · Nie 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Monagas

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Carabobo

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGoście won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.00
Expected goals
1.86
MonagasCarabobo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monagas signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carabobo signalGoście won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Monagas vs Carabobo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monagas wygrana 25%,Remis 28%,Carabobo wygrana 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Powyżej 2.5 54% · Current selection Powyżej