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VEN Venezuela - Primera Division · Zápas ·

Monagas vs Carabobo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich25%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostí47%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí47% selection probability
Projected score1–2MonagasCarabobo
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac54% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
25% / 28% / 47%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Monagas win (25%)Dvojitá šancaX275%1.33
Viac 54% · Menej 46%Goals 2.5Viac54%1.85
Áno 54% · Nie 46%Oba tímy skórujúÁno54%1.85
2.86 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–2
8.2 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapCarabobo winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monagas win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Remíza28%3.573.1028.8%-0.8 pp
Carabobo win47%2.131.9545.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monagas1.00

Domáci share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 54% · Menej 46%

Carabobo1.86

Hostia share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitÁno 54% · Nie 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Monagas

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Carabobo

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalHostia won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Výhra probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.00
Expected goals
1.86
MonagasCarabobo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monagas signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carabobo signalHostia won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Monagas vs Carabobo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monagas výhra 25%,Remíza 28%,Carabobo výhra 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Viac 2.5 54% · Current selection Viac