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VEN Venezuela - Primera División · Partido ·

Monagas vs Carabobo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local25%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante47%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante47% selection probability
Projected score1–2MonagasCarabobo
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de54% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
25% / 28% / 47%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Monagas win (25%)Doble OportunidadX275%1.33
Más de 54% · Menos de 46%Goals 2.5Más de54%1.85
Sí 54% · No 46%Ambos equipos marcan54%1.85
2.86 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
8.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapCarabobo winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monagas win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Empate28%3.573.1028.8%-0.8 pp
Carabobo win47%2.131.9545.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monagas1.00

Local share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 54% · Menos de 46%

Carabobo1.86

Visitante share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Monagas

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Carabobo

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalVisitante won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Ganado probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.00
Expected goals
1.86
MonagasCarabobo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monagas signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carabobo signalVisitante won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Monagas vs Carabobo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monagas ganada 25%,Empate 28%,Carabobo ganada 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Más de 2.5 54% · Current selection Más de