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HRV Хорватия - Национальная лига · Round 1 ·

ФК Локомотива Загреб vs ХНК Гориция

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев45%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей27%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев45% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФК Локомотива ЗагребХНК Гориция
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше58% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
45% / 28% / 27%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ХНК Гориция win (27.2%)Двойной шанс1X72.8%1.37
Больше 42% · Меньше 58%Goals 2.5Меньше58%1.72
Да 48% · Нет 52%Обе забьютНет52%1.92
2.35 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.0 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Локомотива Загреб win45%2.222.0545%0.0 pp
Ничья28%3.573.3027.9%+0.1 pp
ХНК Гориция win27%3.703.4027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Локомотива Загреб1.32

Хозяева share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 42% · Меньше 58%

ХНК Гориция1.03

Гости share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Нет 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Локомотива Загреб

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ХНК Гориция

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
27%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.32
Expected goals
1.03
ФК Локомотива ЗагребХНК Гориция
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Локомотива Загреб signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ХНК Гориция signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

ФК Локомотива Загреб vs ХНК Гориция FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Локомотива Загреб выигрыш 45%,Ничья 28%,ХНК Гориция выигрыш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · ТБ 2.5 42% · Current selection Меньше