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HRV Croatia HNL · Round 1 ·

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng45%
Hòa28%
Đội khách thắng27%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng45% selection probability
Projected score1–1NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Gorica
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu58% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
45% / 28% / 27%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HNK Gorica win (27.2%)Cơ hội kép1X72.8%1.37
Tài 42% · Xỉu 58%Goals 2.5Xỉu58%1.72
Có 48% · Không 52%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông52%1.92
2.35 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
9.0 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win45%2.222.0545%0.0 pp
Hòa28%3.573.3027.9%+0.1 pp
HNK Gorica win27%3.703.4027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.32

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 42% · Xỉu 58%

HNK Gorica1.03

Khách share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 48% · Không 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

2.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Điểm11

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

HNK Gorica

0.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Điểm3

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Thắng probability excluding draw
27%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.32
Expected goals
1.03
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Gorica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Lokomotiva Zagreb signalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HNK Gorica signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb thắng 45%,Hòa 28%,HNK Gorica thắng 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Tài 2.5 42% · Current selection Xỉu