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HRV Chorvatsko - HNL · Round 1 ·

NK Lokomotiva Záhřeb vs HNK Gorica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích45%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostů27%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích45% selection probability
Projected score1–1NK Lokomotiva ZáhřebHNK Gorica
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Méně58% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
45% / 28% / 27%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HNK Gorica win (27.2%)Dvojitá šance1X72.8%1.37
Více 42% · Méně 58%Goals 2.5Méně58%1.72
Ano 48% · Ne 52%Oba týmy skórujíNe52%1.92
2.35 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
9.0 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Lokomotiva Záhřeb win45%2.222.0545%0.0 pp
Remíza28%3.573.3027.9%+0.1 pp
HNK Gorica win27%3.703.4027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Lokomotiva Záhřeb1.32

Domácí share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 42% · Méně 58%

HNK Gorica1.03

Hosté share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 48% · Ne 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

NK Lokomotiva Záhřeb

2.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

HNK Gorica

0.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Výhra probability excluding draw
27%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.32
Expected goals
1.03
NK Lokomotiva ZáhřebHNK Gorica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Lokomotiva Záhřeb signalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HNK Gorica signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

NK Lokomotiva Záhřeb vs HNK Gorica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Lokomotiva Záhřeb výhra 45%,Remíza 28%,HNK Gorica výhra 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Více 2.5 42% · Current selection Méně