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HRV Κροατία - HNL · Round 1 ·

NK Λοκομοτίβα Ζάγκρεμπ vs HNK Γκόριτσα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου45%
Ισοπαλία28%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου27%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου45% selection probability
Projected score1–1NK Λοκομοτίβα ΖάγκρεμπHNK Γκόριτσα
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω58% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
45% / 28% / 27%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HNK Γκόριτσα win (27.2%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X72.8%1.37
Άνω 42% · Κάτω 58%Goals 2.5Κάτω58%1.72
Ναι 48% · Όχι 52%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι52%1.92
2.35 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.0 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Λοκομοτίβα Ζάγκρεμπ win45%2.222.0545%0.0 pp
Ισοπαλία28%3.573.3027.9%+0.1 pp
HNK Γκόριτσα win27%3.703.4027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Λοκομοτίβα Ζάγκρεμπ1.32

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 42% · Κάτω 58%

HNK Γκόριτσα1.03

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 48% · Όχι 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

NK Λοκομοτίβα Ζάγκρεμπ

2.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Πόντοι11

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

HNK Γκόριτσα

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
27%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.32
Expected goals
1.03
NK Λοκομοτίβα ΖάγκρεμπHNK Γκόριτσα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Λοκομοτίβα Ζάγκρεμπ signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HNK Γκόριτσα signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

NK Λοκομοτίβα Ζάγκρεμπ vs HNK Γκόριτσα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Λοκομοτίβα Ζάγκρεμπ νίκη 45%,Ισοπαλία 28%,HNK Γκόριτσα νίκη 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Άνω 2.5 42% · Current selection Κάτω