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HRV Horvátország - HNL · Round 1 ·

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem45%
Döntetlen28%
Vendég győzelem27%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem45% selection probability
Projected score1–1NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Gorica
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt58% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
45% / 28% / 27%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HNK Gorica win (27.2%)Dupla esély1X72.8%1.37
Felett 42% · Alatt 58%Goals 2.5Alatt58%1.72
Igen 48% · Nem 52%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem52%1.92
2.35 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
9.0 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win45%2.222.0545%0.0 pp
Döntetlen28%3.573.3027.9%+0.1 pp
HNK Gorica win27%3.703.4027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.32

Hazai share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 42% · Alatt 58%

HNK Gorica1.03

Vendég share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 48% · Nem 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

2.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontok11

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

HNK Gorica

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontok3

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Nyert probability excluding draw
27%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.32
Expected goals
1.03
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Gorica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Lokomotiva Zagreb signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HNK Gorica signalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb nyer 45%,Döntetlen 28%,HNK Gorica nyer 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · 2.5 felett 42% · Current selection Alatt