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HRV 克羅地亞HNL · Round 1 ·

薩格勒布火車頭 vs HNK哥裏卡

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝45%
28%
客勝27%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝45% selection probability
Projected score1–1薩格勒布火車頭HNK哥裏卡
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.558% for the selected side
雙方進球52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
45% / 28% / 27%比賽結果主勝45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HNK哥裏卡 win (27.2%)雙重機會1X72.8%1.37
大 42% · 小 58%Goals 2.558%1.72
是 48% · 否 52%雙方進球52%1.92
2.35 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.0 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
薩格勒布火車頭 win45%2.222.0545%0.0 pp
28%3.573.3027.9%+0.1 pp
HNK哥裏卡 win27%3.703.4027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

薩格勒布火車頭1.32

主隊 share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 42% · 58%

HNK哥裏卡1.03

客隊 share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 48% · 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

薩格勒布火車頭

2.20pts / match
5Wins3Drawn2Losses0積分11

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

HNK哥裏卡

0.60pts / match
5Wins1Drawn0Losses4積分3

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
贏 probability excluding draw
27%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.32
Expected goals
1.03
薩格勒布火車頭HNK哥裏卡
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01薩格勒布火車頭 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HNK哥裏卡 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

薩格勒布火車頭 vs HNK哥裏卡 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

薩格勒布火車頭 45%, 28%,HNK哥裏卡 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · 大2.5 42% · Current selection