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HRV Chorvátsko - HNL · Round 1 ·

NK Lokomotiva Záhreb vs HNK Gorica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich45%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostí27%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich45% selection probability
Projected score1–1NK Lokomotiva ZáhrebHNK Gorica
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej58% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
45% / 28% / 27%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HNK Gorica win (27.2%)Dvojitá šanca1X72.8%1.37
Viac 42% · Menej 58%Goals 2.5Menej58%1.72
Áno 48% · Nie 52%Oba tímy skórujúNie52%1.92
2.35 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.0 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Lokomotiva Záhreb win45%2.222.0545%0.0 pp
Remíza28%3.573.3027.9%+0.1 pp
HNK Gorica win27%3.703.4027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Lokomotiva Záhreb1.32

Domáci share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 42% · Menej 58%

HNK Gorica1.03

Hostia share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 48% · Nie 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

NK Lokomotiva Záhreb

2.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

HNK Gorica

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Výhra probability excluding draw
27%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.32
Expected goals
1.03
NK Lokomotiva ZáhrebHNK Gorica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Lokomotiva Záhreb signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HNK Gorica signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

NK Lokomotiva Záhreb vs HNK Gorica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Lokomotiva Záhreb výhra 45%,Remíza 28%,HNK Gorica výhra 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Viac 2.5 42% · Current selection Menej