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HRV Хърватия - ХНЛ · Round 1 ·

Локомотив Загреб vs ХНК Горица

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина45%
Равен28%
Победа за госта27%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Локомотив ЗагребХНК Горица
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под58% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
45% / 28% / 27%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ХНК Горица win (27.2%)Двоен шанс1X72.8%1.37
Над 42% · Под 58%Goals 2.5Под58%1.72
Да 48% · Не 52%И двата отбора да отбележатНе52%1.92
2.35 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.0 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Локомотив Загреб win45%2.222.0545%0.0 pp
Равен28%3.573.3027.9%+0.1 pp
ХНК Горица win27%3.703.4027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Локомотив Загреб1.32

Домакин share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 42% · Под 58%

ХНК Горица1.03

Гост share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Не 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Локомотив Загреб

2.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Точки11

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ХНК Горица

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
27%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.32
Expected goals
1.03
Локомотив ЗагребХНК Горица
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Локомотив Загреб signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ХНК Горица signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Локомотив Загреб vs ХНК Горица FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Локомотив Загреб печеливш 45%,Равен 28%,ХНК Горица печеливш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Над 2.5 42% · Current selection Под