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ENG Англия - Премьер-лига · Round 1 ·

Newcastle vs Ливерпуль

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–23.20 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев25%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей49%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей49% selection probability
Projected score2–2NewcastleЛиверпуль
Expected goals3.20Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
25% / 26% / 49%Исход матчаПобеда гостей49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newcastle win (25.4%)Двойной шансX274.6%1.34
Больше 62% · Меньше 38%Goals 2.5Больше62%1.61
Да 64% · Нет 36%Обе забьютДа64%1.56
3.20 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–2
10.4 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.0%Largest probability gapЛиверпуль winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newcastle win25%4.003.9024.4%+0.6 pp
Ничья26%3.853.7025.7%+0.3 pp
Ливерпуль win49%2.041.9149.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newcastle1.62

Хозяева share of expected goals 50.6%

Total expected goals3.20Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 62% · Меньше 38%

Ливерпуль1.58

Гости share of expected goals 49.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 64% · Нет 36%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Newcastle

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Ливерпуль

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
49%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.62
Expected goals
1.58
NewcastleЛиверпуль
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newcastle signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ливерпуль signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Newcastle vs Ливерпуль FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 2–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newcastle выигрыш 25%,Ничья 26%,Ливерпуль выигрыш 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · ТБ 2.5 62% · Current selection Больше