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ENG England Premier League · Round 1 ·

Newcastle vs Liverpool

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–23.20 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem24%
Döntetlen26%
Vendég győzelem51%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem51% selection probability
Projected score2–2NewcastleLiverpool
Expected goals3.20Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett62% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
24% / 26% / 51%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newcastle win (23.9%)Dupla esélyX276.1%1.31
Felett 62% · Alatt 38%Goals 2.5Felett62%1.61
Igen 64% · Nem 36%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen64%1.56
3.20 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–2
10.4 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.5%Largest probability gapNewcastle winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newcastle win24%4.174.2022.8%+1.2 pp
Döntetlen26%3.853.7525.5%+0.5 pp
Liverpool win51%1.961.8551.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newcastle1.62

Hazai share of expected goals 50.6%

Total expected goals3.20Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 62% · Alatt 38%

Liverpool1.58

Vendég share of expected goals 49.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitIgen 64% · Nem 36%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Newcastle

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Liverpool

1.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontok5

SignalVendég matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Nyert probability excluding draw
51%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.62
Expected goals
1.58
NewcastleLiverpool
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newcastle signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Liverpool signalVendég matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Newcastle vs Liverpool FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 2–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newcastle nyer 24%,Döntetlen 26%,Liverpool nyer 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · 2.5 felett 62% · Current selection Felett