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ENG Англия - Висша Лига · Round 1 ·

Newcastle vs Ливърпул

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–23.20 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина24%
Равен26%
Победа за госта51%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта51% selection probability
Projected score2–2NewcastleЛивърпул
Expected goals3.20Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над62% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
24% / 26% / 51%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newcastle win (23.9%)Двоен шансX276.1%1.31
Над 62% · Под 38%Goals 2.5Над62%1.61
Да 64% · Не 36%И двата отбора да отбележатДа64%1.56
3.20 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–2
10.4 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.5%Largest probability gapNewcastle winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newcastle win24%4.174.2022.8%+1.2 pp
Равен26%3.853.7525.5%+0.5 pp
Ливърпул win51%1.961.8551.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newcastle1.62

Домакин share of expected goals 50.6%

Total expected goals3.20Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 62% · Под 38%

Ливърпул1.58

Гост share of expected goals 49.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 64% · Не 36%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Newcastle

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Ливърпул

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
51%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.62
Expected goals
1.58
NewcastleЛивърпул
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newcastle signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ливърпул signalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Newcastle vs Ливърпул FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 2–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newcastle печеливш 24%,Равен 26%,Ливърпул печеливш 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Над 2.5 62% · Current selection Над