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ENG England Premier League · Round 1 ·

Newcastle vs Liverpool

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–23.20 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng25%
Hòa26%
Đội khách thắng49%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng49% selection probability
Projected score2–2NewcastleLiverpool
Expected goals3.20Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài62% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
25% / 26% / 49%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newcastle win (25%)Cơ hội képX275%1.33
Tài 62% · Xỉu 38%Goals 2.5Tài62%1.61
Có 64% · Không 36%Cả hai đội ghi bàn64%1.56
3.20 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–2
10.4 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.3%Largest probability gapLiverpool winDifference-1.5 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newcastle win25%4.004.0024%+1.0 pp
Hòa26%3.853.7525.6%+0.4 pp
Liverpool win49%2.041.9050.5%-1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newcastle1.62

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 50.6%

Total expected goals3.20Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 62% · Xỉu 38%

Liverpool1.58

Khách share of expected goals 49.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 64% · Không 36%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Newcastle

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Liverpool

1.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Điểm5

SignalKhách matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Thắng probability excluding draw
49%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.62
Expected goals
1.58
NewcastleLiverpool
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newcastle signalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Liverpool signalKhách matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Newcastle vs Liverpool FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 2–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newcastle thắng 25%,Hòa 26%,Liverpool thắng 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Tài 2.5 62% · Current selection Tài