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ENG Inglaterra - Premier League · Round 1 ·

Newcastle vs Liverpool

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–23.20 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local24%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante51%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante51% selection probability
Projected score2–2NewcastleLiverpool
Expected goals3.20Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de62% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
24% / 26% / 51%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newcastle win (23.9%)Doble OportunidadX276.1%1.31
Más de 62% · Menos de 38%Goals 2.5Más de62%1.61
Sí 64% · No 36%Ambos equipos marcan64%1.56
3.20 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–2
10.4 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.5%Largest probability gapNewcastle winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newcastle win24%4.174.2022.8%+1.2 pp
Empate26%3.853.7525.5%+0.5 pp
Liverpool win51%1.961.8551.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newcastle1.62

Local share of expected goals 50.6%

Total expected goals3.20Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 62% · Menos de 38%

Liverpool1.58

Visitante share of expected goals 49.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 64% · No 36%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Newcastle

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Liverpool

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Ganado probability excluding draw
51%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.62
Expected goals
1.58
NewcastleLiverpool
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newcastle signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Liverpool signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Newcastle vs Liverpool FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 2–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newcastle ganada 24%,Empate 26%,Liverpool ganada 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Más de 2.5 62% · Current selection Más de