Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
24% / 26% / 51%Match resultAway win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newcastle win (23.9%)Double chanceX276.1%1.31
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.20 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin4.5%Largest probability gapNewcastle winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newcastle win24%4.174.2022.8%+1.2 pp
Draw26%3.853.7525.5%+0.5 pp
Liverpool win51%1.961.8551.7%-0.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 50.6%
Total expected goals3.20Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%
Away share of expected goals 49.4%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchNewcastle
LWDWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchLiverpool
DLDLW
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
24%
Win probability excluding draw
51%7
Points from supplied form
51.62
Expected goals
1.58NewcastleLiverpool
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Newcastle vs Liverpool FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 51% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Newcastle win 24%，Draw 26%，Liverpool win 51%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.20 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over。