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ENG 英格蘭超級聯賽 · Round 1 ·

纽卡斯尔 vs 利物浦

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–23.20 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝24%
26%
客勝51%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝51% selection probability
Projected score2–2纽卡斯尔利物浦
Expected goals3.20初盤 match profile
Goals 2.562% for the selected side
雙方進球64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
24% / 26% / 51%比賽結果客勝51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 纽卡斯尔 win (23.9%)雙重機會X276.1%1.31
大 62% · 小 38%Goals 2.562%1.61
是 64% · 否 36%雙方進球64%1.56
3.20 total expected goals正確比分2–2
10.4 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.5%Largest probability gap纽卡斯尔 winDifference+1.2 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
纽卡斯尔 win24%4.174.2022.8%+1.2 pp
26%3.853.7525.5%+0.5 pp
利物浦 win51%1.961.8551.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

纽卡斯尔1.62

主隊 share of expected goals 50.6%

Total expected goals3.20初盤

Dedicated goals model: 62% · 38%

利物浦1.58

客隊 share of expected goals 49.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 64% · 36%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

纽卡斯尔

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

客隊-context · form sequence

利物浦

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
贏 probability excluding draw
51%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.62
Expected goals
1.58
纽卡斯尔利物浦
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01纽卡斯尔 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02利物浦 signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

纽卡斯尔 vs 利物浦 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 2–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

纽卡斯尔 24%, 26%,利物浦 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · 大2.5 62% · Current selection