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ENG Angleterre - Premier League · Round 1 ·

Newcastle vs Liverpool

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.20 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile25%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur49%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur49% selection probability
Projected score2–2NewcastleLiverpool
Expected goals3.20Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de62% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
25% / 26% / 49%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newcastle win (25.4%)Double chanceX274.6%1.34
Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%Goals 2.5Plus de62%1.61
Oui 64% · Non 36%Les deux équipes marquentOui64%1.56
3.20 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
10.4 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.0%Largest probability gapLiverpool winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newcastle win25%4.003.9024.4%+0.6 pp
Nul26%3.853.7025.7%+0.3 pp
Liverpool win49%2.041.9149.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newcastle1.62

Domicile share of expected goals 50.6%

Total expected goals3.20Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%

Liverpool1.58

Extérieur share of expected goals 49.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 64% · Non 36%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Newcastle

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Liverpool

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gagné probability excluding draw
49%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.62
Expected goals
1.58
NewcastleLiverpool
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newcastle signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Liverpool signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Newcastle vs Liverpool FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newcastle victoire 25%,Nul 26%,Liverpool victoire 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Plus de 2.5 62% · Current selection Plus de