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EST Estonie - Meistriliiga · Round 24 ·

Harju JK Laagri vs JK Nomme Kalju

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.78 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile16%
Nul20%
Victoire à l’extérieur64%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur64% selection probability
Projected score1–2Harju JK LaagriJK Nomme Kalju
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de53% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
16% / 20% / 64%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Harju JK Laagri win (16%)Double chanceX284%1.19
Plus de 53% · Moins de 47%Goals 2.5Plus de53%1.89
Oui 53% · Non 47%Les deux équipes marquentOui53%1.89
2.78 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
10.4 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapJK Nomme Kalju winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Harju JK Laagri win16%6.255.7515.5%+0.5 pp
Nul20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp
JK Nomme Kalju win64%1.561.3864.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Harju JK Laagri1.02

Domicile share of expected goals 36.7%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 53% · Moins de 47%

JK Nomme Kalju1.76

Extérieur share of expected goals 63.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 53% · Non 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Harju JK Laagri

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

JK Nomme Kalju

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Gagné probability excluding draw
64%
6
Points from supplied form
13
1.02
Expected goals
1.76
Harju JK LaagriJK Nomme Kalju
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Harju JK Laagri signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nomme Kalju signalDomicile won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Harju JK Laagri vs JK Nomme Kalju FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Harju JK Laagri victoire 16%,Nul 20%,JK Nomme Kalju victoire 64%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Plus de 2.5 53% · Current selection Plus de