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EST エストニア メスタリリーガ · Round 24 ·

ハルジュJKラグリ vs JKノーメカリュ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.78 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利16%
引き分け20%
アウェイ勝利64%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利64% selection probability
Projected score1–2ハルジュJKラグリJKノーメカリュ
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
16% / 20% / 64%試合結果アウェイ勝利64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ハルジュJKラグリ win (16%)ダブルチャンスX284%1.19
オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%Goals 2.5オーバー53%1.89
はい 53% · いいえ 47%両チーム得点はい53%1.89
2.78 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
10.4 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapJKノーメカリュ winDifference-0.7 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ハルジュJKラグリ win16%6.255.7515.5%+0.5 pp
引き分け20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp
JKノーメカリュ win64%1.561.3864.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ハルジュJKラグリ1.02

ホーム share of expected goals 36.7%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%

JKノーメカリュ1.76

アウェイ share of expected goals 63.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 53% · いいえ 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ハルジュJKラグリ

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

JKノーメカリュ

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
勝ち probability excluding draw
64%
6
Points from supplied form
13
1.02
Expected goals
1.76
ハルジュJKラグリJKノーメカリュ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ハルジュJKラグリ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JKノーメカリュ signalホーム won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

ハルジュJKラグリ vs JKノーメカリュ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ハルジュJKラグリ 勝ち 16%,引き分け 20%,JKノーメカリュ 勝ち 64%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · オーバー 2.5 53% · Current selection オーバー