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UTC+8
AjavööndAsia/Shanghai
Eesti
EST Eesti Meistriliiga · Round 24 ·

Harju JK Laagri vs JK Nõmme Kalju

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–22.78 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit16%
Viik20%
Võõrsilvõit64%
Full model forecastVõõrsilvõitTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVõõrsilvõit64% selection probability
Projected score1–2Harju JK LaagriJK Nõmme Kalju
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle53% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
16% / 20% / 64%Mängu tulemusVõõrsilvõit64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Harju JK Laagri win (16%)TopeltvõimalusX284%1.19
Üle 53% · Alla 47%Goals 2.5Üle53%1.89
Jah 53% · Ei 47%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah53%1.89
2.78 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–2
10.4 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapJK Nõmme Kalju winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Harju JK Laagri win16%6.255.7515.5%+0.5 pp
Viik20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp
JK Nõmme Kalju win64%1.561.3864.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Harju JK Laagri1.02

Kodu share of expected goals 36.7%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 53% · Alla 47%

JK Nõmme Kalju1.76

Võõras share of expected goals 63.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJah 53% · Ei 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Harju JK Laagri

1.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punktid6

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

JK Nõmme Kalju

2.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punktid13

SignalKodu won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Võit probability excluding draw
64%
6
Points from supplied form
13
1.02
Expected goals
1.76
Harju JK LaagriJK Nõmme Kalju
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Harju JK Laagri signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nõmme Kalju signalKodu won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Harju JK Laagri vs JK Nõmme Kalju FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Võõrsilvõit · Projected score 1–2 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Harju JK Laagri võit 16%,Viik 20%,JK Nõmme Kalju võit 64%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Üle 2.5 53% · Current selection Üle