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EST Estonia Meistriliiga · Round 24 ·

Harju JK Laagri vs JK Nomme Kalju

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–22.78 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır19%
Beraberlik21%
Deplasman kazanır60%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır60% selection probability
Projected score1–2Harju JK LaagriJK Nomme Kalju
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst53% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
19% / 21% / 60%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Harju JK Laagri win (19%)Çifte ŞansX281%1.23
Üst 53% · Alt 47%Goals 2.5Üst53%1.89
Evet 53% · Hayır 47%Karşılıklı gol varEvet53%1.89
2.78 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–2
10.4 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapHarju JK Laagri winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Harju JK Laagri win19%5.264.7518.7%+0.3 pp
Beraberlik21%4.764.2021.2%-0.2 pp
JK Nomme Kalju win60%1.671.4860.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Harju JK Laagri1.03

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 37.1%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 53% · Alt 47%

JK Nomme Kalju1.75

Deplasman share of expected goals 62.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitEvet 53% · Hayır 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Harju JK Laagri

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

JK Nomme Kalju

2.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puan13

SignalEv Sahibi won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
60%
6
Points from supplied form
13
1.03
Expected goals
1.75
Harju JK LaagriJK Nomme Kalju
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Harju JK Laagri signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nomme Kalju signalEv Sahibi won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Harju JK Laagri vs JK Nomme Kalju FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–2 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Harju JK Laagri kazanç 19%,Beraberlik 21%,JK Nomme Kalju kazanç 60%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · 2.5 Üst 53% · Current selection Üst