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EST Estonia Meistriliiga · Round 24 ·

Harju JK Laagri vs JK Nomme Kalju

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–22.78 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier16%
Uavgjort20%
Borteseier64%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier64% selection probability
Projected score1–2Harju JK LaagriJK Nomme Kalju
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
16% / 20% / 64%KampresultatBorteseier64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Harju JK Laagri win (16%)Dobbel sjanseX284%1.19
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Ja 53% · Nei 47%Begge lag scorerJa53%1.89
2.78 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapJK Nomme Kalju winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Harju JK Laagri win16%6.255.7515.5%+0.5 pp
Uavgjort20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp
JK Nomme Kalju win64%1.561.3864.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Harju JK Laagri1.02

Hjemme share of expected goals 36.7%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

JK Nomme Kalju1.76

Borte share of expected goals 63.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 53% · Nei 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Harju JK Laagri

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

JK Nomme Kalju

2.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poeng13

SignalHjemme won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
64%
6
Points from supplied form
13
1.02
Expected goals
1.76
Harju JK LaagriJK Nomme Kalju
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Harju JK Laagri signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nomme Kalju signalHjemme won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Harju JK Laagri vs JK Nomme Kalju FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–2 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Harju JK Laagri vunnet 16%,Uavgjort 20%,JK Nomme Kalju vunnet 64%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over