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EST Эстония - Мейстрилига · Round 24 ·

Харью ЙК Лаагри vs ФК Нымме Калью

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.78 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев16%
Ничья20%
Победа гостей64%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей64% selection probability
Projected score1–2Харью ЙК ЛаагриФК Нымме Калью
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
16% / 20% / 64%Исход матчаПобеда гостей64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Харью ЙК Лаагри win (16%)Двойной шансX284%1.19
Больше 53% · Меньше 47%Goals 2.5Больше53%1.89
Да 53% · Нет 47%Обе забьютДа53%1.89
2.78 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
10.4 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapФК Нымме Калью winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Харью ЙК Лаагри win16%6.255.7515.5%+0.5 pp
Ничья20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp
ФК Нымме Калью win64%1.561.3864.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Харью ЙК Лаагри1.02

Хозяева share of expected goals 36.7%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 53% · Меньше 47%

ФК Нымме Калью1.76

Гости share of expected goals 63.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 53% · Нет 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Харью ЙК Лаагри

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Нымме Калью

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
64%
6
Points from supplied form
13
1.02
Expected goals
1.76
Харью ЙК ЛаагриФК Нымме Калью
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Харью ЙК Лаагри signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Нымме Калью signalХозяева won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Харью ЙК Лаагри vs ФК Нымме Калью FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Харью ЙК Лаагри выигрыш 16%,Ничья 20%,ФК Нымме Калью выигрыш 64%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · ТБ 2.5 53% · Current selection Больше