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EST Estland - Meistriliiga · Round 24 ·

Harju JK Laagri vs JK Nomme Kalju

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.78 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger19%
Oavgjort21%
Bortaseger60%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger60% selection probability
Projected score1–2Harju JK LaagriJK Nomme Kalju
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
19% / 21% / 60%MatchresultatBortaseger60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Harju JK Laagri win (19%)DubbelchansX281%1.23
Över 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Över53%1.89
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
2.78 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.4 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapHarju JK Laagri winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Harju JK Laagri win19%5.264.7518.7%+0.3 pp
Oavgjort21%4.764.2021.2%-0.2 pp
JK Nomme Kalju win60%1.671.4860.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Harju JK Laagri1.03

Hemma share of expected goals 37.1%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 53% · Under 47%

JK Nomme Kalju1.75

Borta share of expected goals 62.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Harju JK Laagri

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

JK Nomme Kalju

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
60%
6
Points from supplied form
13
1.03
Expected goals
1.75
Harju JK LaagriJK Nomme Kalju
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Harju JK Laagri signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nomme Kalju signalHemma won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Harju JK Laagri vs JK Nomme Kalju FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Harju JK Laagri vunnen 19%,Oavgjort 21%,JK Nomme Kalju vunnen 60%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Över 2.5 53% · Current selection Över