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EST Estland - Meistriliiga · Match ·

Paide Linnameeskond vs JK Nomme United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–14.07 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger63%
Oavgjort20%
Bortaseger18%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger63% selection probability
Projected score3–1Paide LinnameeskondJK Nomme United
Expected goals4.07Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över77% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
63% / 20% / 18%MatchresultatHemmaseger63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Nomme United win (17.7%)Dubbelchans1X82.3%1.22
Över 77% · Under 23%Goals 2.5Över77%1.30
Ja 68% · Nej 32%Båda lagen gör målJa68%1.47
4.07 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
10.5 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapPaide Linnameeskond winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Paide Linnameeskond win63%1.591.4462.2%+0.8 pp
Oavgjort20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
JK Nomme United win18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Paide Linnameeskond2.78

Hemma share of expected goals 68.3%

Total expected goals4.07Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 77% · Under 23%

JK Nomme United1.29

Borta share of expected goals 31.7%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 68% · Nej 32%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Paide Linnameeskond

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

JK Nomme United

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
6
2.78
Expected goals
1.29
Paide LinnameeskondJK Nomme United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Paide Linnameeskond signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nomme United signalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Paide Linnameeskond vs JK Nomme United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Paide Linnameeskond vunnen 63%,Oavgjort 20%,JK Nomme United vunnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.07 · Över 2.5 77% · Current selection Över