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EST Estland - Meistriliiga · Match ·

FC Levadia Tallinn vs JK Trans Narva

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–13.91 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger82%
Oavgjort11%
Bortaseger7%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 82% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger82% selection probability
Projected score3–1FC Levadia TallinnJK Trans Narva
Expected goals3.91Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över75% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
82% / 11% / 7%MatchresultatHemmaseger82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Trans Narva win (7.1%)Dubbelchans1X92.9%1.08
Över 75% · Under 25%Goals 2.5Över75%1.33
Ja 39% · Nej 61%Båda lagen gör målNej61%1.64
3.91 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
10.7 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapFC Levadia Tallinn winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Levadia Tallinn win82%1.221.1480.8%+1.2 pp
Oavgjort11%9.098.0011.5%-0.5 pp
JK Trans Narva win7%14.2912.007.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Levadia Tallinn3.40

Hemma share of expected goals 87%

Total expected goals3.91Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 75% · Under 25%

JK Trans Narva0.51

Borta share of expected goals 13%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 39% · Nej 61%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FC Levadia Tallinn

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

JK Trans Narva

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
7%
10
Points from supplied form
7
3.40
Expected goals
0.51
FC Levadia TallinnJK Trans Narva
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Levadia Tallinn signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Trans Narva signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 11%.

Match questions

FC Levadia Tallinn vs JK Trans Narva FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–1 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Levadia Tallinn vunnen 82%,Oavgjort 11%,JK Trans Narva vunnen 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.91 · Över 2.5 75% · Current selection Över