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FC Levadia Tallinn vs JK Trans Narva

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–13.91 expected goals
Away form
Home win82%
Draw11%
Away win7%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 82% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win82% selection probability
Projected score3–1FC Levadia TallinnJK Trans Narva
Expected goals3.91Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over75% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
82% / 11% / 7%Match resultHome win82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Trans Narva win (7.1%)Double chance1X92.9%1.08
Over 75% · Under 25%Goals 2.5Over75%1.33
Yes 39% · No 61%Both teams scoreNo61%1.64
3.91 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
10.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapFC Levadia Tallinn winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Levadia Tallinn win82%1.221.1480.8%+1.2 pp
Draw11%9.098.0011.5%-0.5 pp
JK Trans Narva win7%14.2912.007.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Levadia Tallinn3.40

Home share of expected goals 87%

Total expected goals3.91Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 75% · Under 25%

JK Trans Narva0.51

Away share of expected goals 13%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 39% · No 61%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Levadia Tallinn

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

JK Trans Narva

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Win probability excluding draw
7%
10
Points from supplied form
7
3.40
Expected goals
0.51
FC Levadia TallinnJK Trans Narva
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Levadia Tallinn signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Trans Narva signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 11%.

Match questions

FC Levadia Tallinn vs JK Trans Narva FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Levadia Tallinn win 82%,Draw 11%,JK Trans Narva win 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.91 · Over 2.5 75% · Current selection Over