Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
10% / 17% / 73%Match resultAway win73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Riyadh win (9.9%)Double chanceX290.1%1.11
Over 73% · Under 27%Goals 2.5Over73%1.37
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
3.78 total expected goalsCorrect score1–3——
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Al Riyadh win10%10.00
Draw17%5.88
Al-Nassr Riyadh win73%1.37
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 17.2%
Total expected goals3.78Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 73% · Under 27%
Away share of expected goals 82.8%
Projected score1–3BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAl Riyadh
LWDWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchAl-Nassr Riyadh
WWDWL
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalAway unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
10%
Win probability excluding draw
73%7
Points from supplied form
100.65
Expected goals
3.13Al RiyadhAl-Nassr Riyadh
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.
Match questions
Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Riyadh FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–3 · 73% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Al Riyadh win 10%，Draw 17%，Al-Nassr Riyadh win 73%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.78 · Over 2.5 73% · Current selection Over。