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INT Arabie Saoudite - Pro League · Match ·

Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Riyadh

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–33.78 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile10%
Nul17%
Victoire à l’extérieur73%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur73% selection probability
Projected score1–3Al RiyadhAl-Nassr Riyadh
Expected goals3.78Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de73% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
10% / 17% / 73%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Riyadh win (9.9%)Double chanceX290.1%1.11
Plus de 73% · Moins de 27%Goals 2.5Plus de73%1.37
Oui 46% · Non 54%Les deux équipes marquentNon54%1.85
3.78 total expected goalsScore exact1–3
10.2 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Al Riyadh win10%10.00
Nul17%5.88
Al-Nassr Riyadh win73%1.37

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Riyadh0.65

Domicile share of expected goals 17.2%

Total expected goals3.78Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 73% · Moins de 27%

Al-Nassr Riyadh3.13

Extérieur share of expected goals 82.8%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitOui 46% · Non 54%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Al Riyadh

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Al-Nassr Riyadh

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
10%
Gagné probability excluding draw
73%
7
Points from supplied form
10
0.65
Expected goals
3.13
Al RiyadhAl-Nassr Riyadh
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Riyadh signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Nassr Riyadh signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Riyadh FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–3 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Riyadh victoire 10%,Nul 17%,Al-Nassr Riyadh victoire 73%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.78 · Plus de 2.5 73% · Current selection Plus de