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DNK Danemark - Division 1 · Match ·

Hobro IK vs AaB

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.73 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile36%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur36%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Hobro IKAaB
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de51% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
36% / 28% / 36%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)Double chance1271.9%1.39
Plus de 51% · Moins de 49%Goals 2.5Plus de51%1.96
Oui 56% · Non 44%Les deux équipes marquentOui56%1.79
2.73 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hobro IK win36%2.782.6035.9%+0.1 pp
Nul28%3.573.3028.3%-0.3 pp
AaB win36%2.782.6035.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hobro IK1.46

Domicile share of expected goals 53.5%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 51% · Moins de 49%

AaB1.27

Extérieur share of expected goals 46.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 56% · Non 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Hobro IK

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile won 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

AaB

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gagné probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.46
Expected goals
1.27
Hobro IKAaB
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hobro IK signalDomicile won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AaB signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Hobro IK vs AaB FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hobro IK victoire 36%,Nul 28%,AaB victoire 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Plus de 2.5 51% · Current selection Plus de