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UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
DNK Denemarken - 1. division · Wedstrijd ·

Hobro IK vs AaB

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.73 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst36%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst36%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Hobro IKAaB
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
36% / 28% / 36%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)Dubbele Kans1271.9%1.39
Boven 51% · Onder 49%Goals 2.5Boven51%1.96
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
2.73 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hobro IK win36%2.782.6035.9%+0.1 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.3028.3%-0.3 pp
AaB win36%2.782.6035.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hobro IK1.46

Thuis share of expected goals 53.5%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 51% · Onder 49%

AaB1.27

Uit share of expected goals 46.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Hobro IK

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

AaB

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.46
Expected goals
1.27
Hobro IKAaB
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hobro IK signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AaB signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Hobro IK vs AaB FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hobro IK gewonnen 36%,Gelijkspel 28%,AaB gewonnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Boven 2.5 51% · Current selection Boven