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INT Saudi Arabia Pro League · Maç ·

Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Riyadh

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–33.78 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır10%
Beraberlik17%
Deplasman kazanır73%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır73% selection probability
Projected score1–3Al RiyadhAl-Nassr Riyadh
Expected goals3.78Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst73% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
10% / 17% / 73%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Riyadh win (9.9%)Çifte ŞansX290.1%1.11
Üst 73% · Alt 27%Goals 2.5Üst73%1.37
Evet 46% · Hayır 54%Karşılıklı gol varHayır54%1.85
3.78 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–3
10.2 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Al Riyadh win10%10.00
Beraberlik17%5.88
Al-Nassr Riyadh win73%1.37

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Riyadh0.65

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 17.2%

Total expected goals3.78Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 73% · Alt 27%

Al-Nassr Riyadh3.13

Deplasman share of expected goals 82.8%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitEvet 46% · Hayır 54%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Al Riyadh

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Al-Nassr Riyadh

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
10%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
73%
7
Points from supplied form
10
0.65
Expected goals
3.13
Al RiyadhAl-Nassr Riyadh
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Riyadh signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Nassr Riyadh signalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Riyadh FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–3 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Riyadh kazanç 10%,Beraberlik 17%,Al-Nassr Riyadh kazanç 73%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.78 · 2.5 Üst 73% · Current selection Üst