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EST Estland - Meistriliiga · Spiel ·

Paide Linnameeskond vs JK Nomme United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–14.07 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg63%
Unentschieden20%
Auswärtssieg18%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg63% selection probability
Projected score3–1Paide LinnameeskondJK Nomme United
Expected goals4.07Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über77% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
63% / 20% / 18%SpielergebnisHeimsieg63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Nomme United win (17.7%)Doppelte Chance1X82.3%1.22
Über 77% · Unter 23%Goals 2.5Über77%1.30
Ja 68% · Nein 32%Beide Teams treffenJa68%1.47
4.07 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
10.5 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapPaide Linnameeskond winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Paide Linnameeskond win63%1.591.4462.2%+0.8 pp
Unentschieden20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
JK Nomme United win18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Paide Linnameeskond2.78

Heim share of expected goals 68.3%

Total expected goals4.07Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 77% · Unter 23%

JK Nomme United1.29

Auswärts share of expected goals 31.7%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 68% · Nein 32%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Paide Linnameeskond

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

JK Nomme United

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
6
2.78
Expected goals
1.29
Paide LinnameeskondJK Nomme United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Paide Linnameeskond signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nomme United signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Paide Linnameeskond vs JK Nomme United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Paide Linnameeskond Gewinn 63%,Unentschieden 20%,JK Nomme United Gewinn 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.07 · Über 2.5 77% · Current selection Über