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EST Estónia - Meistriliiga · Partida ·

Paide Linnameeskond vs JK Nõmme United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score3–14.07 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa63%
Empate20%
Vitória visitante18%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa63% selection probability
Projected score3–1Paide LinnameeskondJK Nõmme United
Expected goals4.07Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima77% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
63% / 20% / 18%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Nõmme United win (17.7%)Dupla Chance1X82.3%1.22
Acima 77% · Abaixo 23%Goals 2.5Acima77%1.30
Sim 68% · Não 32%Ambas as equipes marcamSim68%1.47
4.07 total expected goalsPlacar exato3–1
10.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapPaide Linnameeskond winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Paide Linnameeskond win63%1.591.4462.2%+0.8 pp
Empate20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
JK Nõmme United win18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Paide Linnameeskond2.78

Mandante share of expected goals 68.3%

Total expected goals4.07Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 77% · Abaixo 23%

JK Nõmme United1.29

Visitante share of expected goals 31.7%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitSim 68% · Não 32%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Paide Linnameeskond

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

JK Nõmme United

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
6
2.78
Expected goals
1.29
Paide LinnameeskondJK Nõmme United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Paide Linnameeskond signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nõmme United signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Paide Linnameeskond vs JK Nõmme United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Paide Linnameeskond ganhou 63%,Empate 20%,JK Nõmme United ganhou 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.07 · Acima 2.5 77% · Current selection Acima