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EST Estonie - Meistriliiga · Match ·

Paide Linnameeskond vs JK Nomme United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–14.07 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile63%
Nul20%
Victoire à l’extérieur18%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile63% selection probability
Projected score3–1Paide LinnameeskondJK Nomme United
Expected goals4.07Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de77% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
63% / 20% / 18%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Nomme United win (17.7%)Double chance1X82.3%1.22
Plus de 77% · Moins de 23%Goals 2.5Plus de77%1.30
Oui 68% · Non 32%Les deux équipes marquentOui68%1.47
4.07 total expected goalsScore exact3–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapPaide Linnameeskond winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Paide Linnameeskond win63%1.591.4462.2%+0.8 pp
Nul20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
JK Nomme United win18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Paide Linnameeskond2.78

Domicile share of expected goals 68.3%

Total expected goals4.07Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 77% · Moins de 23%

JK Nomme United1.29

Extérieur share of expected goals 31.7%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitOui 68% · Non 32%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Paide Linnameeskond

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

JK Nomme United

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Gagné probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
6
2.78
Expected goals
1.29
Paide LinnameeskondJK Nomme United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Paide Linnameeskond signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nomme United signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Paide Linnameeskond vs JK Nomme United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Paide Linnameeskond victoire 63%,Nul 20%,JK Nomme United victoire 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.07 · Plus de 2.5 77% · Current selection Plus de